Now that we’re on the opposite aspect of Labor Day and summer time is subsiding, that is — as custom goes — when deal with political campaigns actually begins to warmth up. The off-year elections this November will get some consideration, however the principle attraction continues to be the 2024 Republican presidential major.
On this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we ask a query we are going to undoubtedly return to within the 4 months till the Iowa caucuses: Is Donald Trump’s nomination inevitable? And if not inevitable, how can we place the probability he wins the GOP major in historic context?
We even have partial outcomes from two particular major elections and we debate “good or unhealthy use of polling” for a traditional and controversial subject: inner polls.
You possibly can take heed to the episode by clicking the “play” button within the audio participant above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favourite podcast platform. If you’re new to podcasts, learn to hear.
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Assist new listeners uncover the present by leaving us a ranking and evaluate on iTunes. Have a remark, query or suggestion for “good polling vs. unhealthy polling”? Get in contact by electronic mail, on Twitter or within the feedback.